{"id":21475,"date":"2020-12-03T03:52:28","date_gmt":"2020-12-03T03:52:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/?p=21475"},"modified":"2020-12-03T03:52:28","modified_gmt":"2020-12-03T03:52:28","slug":"the-guardian-danger-ahead-after-iranian-nuclear-scientists-assassination","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/the-guardian-danger-ahead-after-iranian-nuclear-scientists-assassination\/","title":{"rendered":"The Guardian: Danger Ahead After Iranian Nuclear Scientist\u2019s Assassination"},"content":{"rendered":"

As any dramatist could tell you, when can be as important as what. The assassination of the Iranian nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh last week was a reckless and provocative act, tagged as a potential breach of international law not only by the UN rapporteur on extrajudicial killings, but also by the former CIA chief John Brennan. Though no one has claimed responsibility, US officials have indicated that the killing is the work of \u2018Israel\u2019; previous assassinations of nuclear scientists have been attributed to Mossad.<\/strong><\/p>\n

What is truly striking is the timing. Fakhrizadeh was a top target, but the last such killing was in 2012, and the Obama administration had warned \u2018Israel\u2019 off other hits. It is hard to believe it is a coincidence that this took place as Donald Trump prepares to reluctantly leave office. As such, it appears to have less to do with events in Iran than with politics in the US and indeed \u2018Israel\u2019, where Benjamin Netanyahu is looking once more to his electoral prospects. The real damage done is not to the Iranian nuclear program, but to diplomacy. The suspicion is that the intent is to provoke a reaction that the president-elect, Joe Biden, might feel unable to ignore, making his plans for a return to the nuclear accord even tougher \u2013 or, worse still, which allows the Trump administration to hit back harder. Iran has vowed to respond. Though it understands the forces in play and is usually careful to calibrate its actions, the killing \u2013 coming months after the US killed Iran\u2019s most powerful general, Qassem Soleimani \u2013 has highlighted its vulnerability. This is a dangerous moment.<\/p>\n

The real problem, however, is not the actions of the last few days, but of the last four years. Trump withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action \u2013 the Iran nuclear deal \u2013 despite Iranian compliance, and since then has done all he can to destroy it. From a combination of ideology and, in Trump\u2019s case, a narcissism and vindictiveness that made him determined to dismantle his predecessor\u2019s signature achievement, the administration has undermined Iran\u2019s moderates, including the president, Hassan Rouhani, and strengthened the hardliners. The damage has been compounded by actions such as approving the sale of nuclear technology to Iran\u2019s great foe, Saudi Arabia.<\/p>\n

The message Trump sent was that the US is both untrustworthy and unreliable, and that any agreement is likely to be temporary and to rest upon the president\u2019s whim. That Biden will be regarded as a more predictable player may affect short-term calculations; but in the longer term, other countries see the US as fundamentally less dependable. These lessons will be heeded not only by Tehran, but by others; notably Pyongyang.<\/p>\n

The E3 \u2013 UK, France and Germany \u2013 have battled to hold the line against intense US pressure and done all they can to shore up the JCPOA. This has only limited the damage. Iran has steadily been breaching its commitments in the deal, in what it portrays as a response to US betrayal and an attempt to increase support from the other JCPOA signatories. Creating a roadmap to bring Iran and the US back into line with the original agreement would be helpful.<\/p>\n

But Biden is not inaugurated until 20 January. The screws are still tightening on the Iranian economy. We already know that Trump mooted the possibility of an attack on nuclear facilities, but was warned off by aides. He has since reportedly given his advisers the go-ahead to turn up the pressure as long as they don\u2019t \u201cstart world war three\u201d. Some hope that the \u2018Israeli\u2019 Forces and Pentagon could slow roll any especially dangerous initiatives. But the risk is real that the harm done since 2016 could soon be magnified. Though Trump\u2019s departure is a cause for relief, it cannot come soon enough.<\/p>\n

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https:\/\/chat.whatsapp.com\/Fava5Ifru8330dDMfhs0gn<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

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t.me\/wilayahh<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As any dramatist could tell you, when can be as important as what. The assassination of the Iranian nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh last week was a reckless and provocative act, tagged as a potential breach of international law not only by the UN rapporteur on extrajudicial killings, but also by the former CIA chief John …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":21476,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":1,"footnotes":""},"categories":[432],"tags":[1478,1483,1482,1480,1481],"class_list":["post-21475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-supreme-leader","tag-islam_is_our_symbol","tag-no_to_trump_deal","tag-purposeful_lectures","tag-stay_at_home_to_be_safe","tag-the_zionist_mice-army"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21475","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21475"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21475\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21477,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21475\/revisions\/21477"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21476"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21475"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21475"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21475"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}