## Consequences of the Closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb: Paralysis in Energy Markets and a Victory for the Yemeni People’s Cause (Mazloumiyya)<\/p>\n
**Al-Masirah Net | Special:** The Bab el-Mandeb Strait returns today to the heart of the scene in light of the decision to impose a ban on maritime navigation for the Saudi enemy, and the announcement by the Kingdom of the formation of a naval alliance to lift the blockade by military force.<\/p>\n
What adds further importance to this waterway is that it coincides with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz by the Islamic Republic of Iran, placing Gulf energy at the mercy of the wind, since Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf states depend on these two straits for exporting oil, its derivatives, and other goods.<\/p>\n
Accordingly, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has turned into a strategic card in the equation of international security. While the Strait of Hormuz controls the exit of oil from the Gulf, Bab el-Mandeb controls its arrival in Europe and the Mediterranean. Any simultaneous disruption in the two straits threatens not only energy markets but also affects one of the most important maritime trade networks in the world, making these two passages together a central axis in any wide-ranging regional conflict.<\/p>\n
Since the American-Zionist aggression against Iran, Yemen has stood alongside the Islamic Republic through official statements and speeches. Sayyid Abdul-Malik Badr al-Din al-Houthi\u2014may God protect him\u2014has affirmed more than once that the Yemenis will not remain neutral, that they are part of the defense of Iran, and they have declared their partnership in the battle.<\/p>\n
In this context, the Lebanese deputy and editor-in-chief of the newspaper *Al-Binaa*, Mr. Nasser Qandil, believes that Yemen chose the right time to open the Red Sea battle, entering it to break the siege imposed on the Yemeni people. He noted that closing Bab el-Mandeb in parallel with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz means accelerating the settlement of the battle from weeks to days, given that the total traffic passing through the two straits represents 60% of the world’s container trade\u201430% passing through Bab el-Mandeb alone, and roughly the same through Hormuz. This means that if the two straits are closed, a comprehensive collapse will occur in the energy market and the stock markets. He stressed that the Yemeni leadership is not taking the Yemeni people into a war merely to support Iran; rather, the issue has come to concern the right to life, the lifting of the blockade, and treating Yemenis like the rest of humanity.<\/p>\n
### Full Oil Reserves<\/p>\n
What is happening in the Red Sea cannot be separated from the developments of the American-Zionist aggression against the Islamic Republic, in which Gulf states participate covertly, opening their airspace and cities to American bases to attack Muslim countries.<\/p>\n
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has caused the depletion of strategic oil reserves around the world, which contain close to one billion barrels (of which about 700 million barrels are in America alone), with the main part of their capacity consumed without refilling these reserves\u2014as Mr. Qandil says\u2014who asserts that it is impossible for America to bear entering once again into a prolonged confrontation in which the strait is closed and the passage of oil comes to a halt.<\/p>\n
He believes that if the American president’s calculations bet on not needing a long duration, he can risk a battle lasting one, two, or three weeks, but waging another 100 days is something with no chance of success, because the reserves have not been refilled and what remains in them is not enough to fight a long battle. He noted that the two companies “Chevron” and “ExxonMobil” had announced, before the end of the war, that the Strait of Hormuz must be reopened before the end of June, otherwise the global economy would collapse as reserves reach the red line. Accordingly, he stresses that calculations aimed at a confrontation with Iran over Hormuz must take into account that the available time\u2014due to the oil stock\u2014is not long.<\/p>\n
Qandil adds another reason hindering Trump’s continuation of the war, namely the crisis of ammunition and air defenses, which includes air defense systems and high-precision offensive missiles. He noted that this type of ammunition has also reached its red line, as experts’ warnings against continuing the war have grown louder, affirming that it is not permissible to leave America unprotected in the event it faces an emergency danger or a war breaks out in Taiwan, given the existence of a minimum stock that cannot be touched, and which has already been approached.<\/p>\n
In the face of these developments, Trump’s statements that “the Strait of Hormuz is open” are not enough. The market needs certainty and absolute security to respond to passage, for the giant companies fear the targeting of their ships, and therefore they do not take risks, because the hitting of one ship out of 10 means the market refraining from taking risks and demanding absolute security.<\/p>\n
Qandil notes that the Iranians have not yet used the “diving\/swarming drones” (molhakat insidadiyya) revealed by Lebanese Hezbollah in its recent battles, which are distinguished by a range of up to 30 kilometers (which is the entire range required to disrupt passage in Hormuz). They are impervious to surveillance and impervious to jamming, and their explosive payload reaches 25\u201330 kilograms (a payload exceeding the destructive capacity of a warhead of an ordinary rocket or a radio-controlled drone, and more than sufficient to prevent a tanker from crossing). He explained that if Iran is forced to use this weapon, it will do so, and then there will be no answer, no remedy, and no ability to escape the Iranian equation. He noted that the natural context of the ongoing confrontation confirms that it will serve to consolidate and affirm Iran’s status in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n
He clarifies that the Islamic Republic has prepared itself for all scenarios, for American risk-taking and the continuation of aggression against Iran, and the crossing of red lines, may set the entire region ablaze, and the region will not be immune to these repercussions.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
Let me know if you’d like any adjustments to the translation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
## Consequences of the Closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb: Paralysis in Energy Markets and a Victory for the Yemeni People’s Cause (Mazloumiyya) **Al-Masirah Net | Special:** The Bab el-Mandeb Strait returns today to the heart of the scene in light of the decision to impose a ban on maritime navigation for …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":31127,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":1,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1485],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-various-articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31126","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31126"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31126\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31128,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31126\/revisions\/31128"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wilayah.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}